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The Future of Puget Sound

How will climate change, population growth, and development affect Puget Sound and the natural resources we care about?

Growing human population and changing climate threaten habitats and species, as well as the social and economic systems that depend on them. A major challenge is to understand how future conditions, and our decisions to manage them, will affect the interconnected natural and human systems and minimize trade-offs across multiple regional goals.

Heron in the Late afternoon sun at Mukilteo Ferry Terminal. In background city of Everett WA.
Padilla Bay with Anacortes and San Juan Islands in the distance. Washington State Department of Ecology.

The Challenge

How can we make decisions in the face of an uncertain future?

The connections among terrestrial, freshwater, marine and social systems are poorly understood and the Puget Sound region lacks the tools to make well-informed choices. Effective decision support tools must span the terrestrial-freshwater-marine gradient and human systems while accounting for future changes from climate, land conversion, and population growth.

Our Approach

Create a coupled environmental and human systems modeling framework for the entire Puget Sound Basin.

A connected terrestrial-freshwater-marine-human system modeling framework will help us understand the interactive effects of future threats to our region, and evaluate their impacts on ecological, social, and economic objectives.

Linked models with high spatial and temporal resolution will simulate exchanges of water, carbon, nutrients, contaminants, sediments, and organisms across habitats, under current and future conditions.

This tool will support decision makers and inform recovery planning for Puget Sound.

Want to learn more about each of the component models? Click on the infographic pieces at right.

Watch our team describe the project goals and how each of the models fit together.

Project Partners & Funders

News & Events

December 14, 2022

University of Washington Tacoma publicly announces the project via press release.

November 15, 2022

Project kickoff meeting held at Center for Urban Waters in Tacoma, WA

November 29, 2023

Engagement focus group hosted virtually

140x50 foot mural by Wyland includes orcas, fronds, kelp, and 'mud sharks' 2019

Meet the Team

Joel Baker, Ph.D.

Principle Investigator (current)
Puget Sound Institute, UW Tacoma

Tessa Francis, Ph.D.

Principle Investigator (past)
Puget Sound Institute, UW Tacoma

Caitlin Magel, Ph.D.

Project Co-Lead
Puget Sound Institute, UW Tacoma

Caren Barceló, Ph.D.

Puget Sound Institute, UW Tacoma

Kevin Bogue, M.S.

Puget Sound Institute, UW Tacoma

Sonali Chokshi

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Oak Ridge Associated Universities

Jonathan Halama, Ph.D.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

Chris Harvey, Ph.D.

NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science Center

Issac Kaplan, Ph.D.

NOAA Northwest Fisheries Science Center

Tarang Khangaonkar, Ph.D.

Salish Sea Modeling Center, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

Marielle Larson

Puget Sound Institute, UW Tacoma

Jiang Long, Ph.D.

Puget Sound Institute, UW Tacoma

Robert McKane, Ph.D.

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency

Alaia Morell, Ph.D.

Puget Sound Institute, UW Tacoma

Veronika Polushina

Puget Sound Institute, UW Tacoma

Lakshitha Premathilake, Ph.D.

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, University of Washington

Su Kyong Yun, M.S.

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, University of Washington